Confirmation bias
Tendency to selectively look for information that might confirm your belief and overlook information that disconfirms it
Wason (1960) study
• Subjects shown a set of three numbers that were connected by a numerical rule
• They had to discover the rule by proposing additional sets of numbers
• Received feedback about whether each set fit the rule
• They continued until they were confident they knew the rule, then announced it
Initially told that 2, 4, 6 fits the rule
Subjects are given 4,6,8; 6,8,10 which all fits the rule, then conclude: 3 numbers increase by 2 each time.
Actual rule: “Three numbers in increasing order”
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- tim.zhaotianqi
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(Nanjing, China)