Although probability theory derives its notion and terminology from intuition, a vague statement such as “John will probably come” is as remote from it as the statement “John is forceful and energetic” is remote from mechanics. Probability theory constructs abstract models, mostly of a qualitative nature, and only experience can show whether these reasonably describe laws of nature or life. As always in mathematics, only logical relations and implications enter the theory, and the notion of probability is just as undefinable (and as intuitive) as are the notions of point, line, or mass. An actual assignment of numerical probabilities is frequently unnecessary or impossible. For example, telephone exchanges are based on a theoretical comparison of several possible systems; only the optimal ones are built and the others discarded. Thus a huge industry depends on theoretical models of exchanges which will never exist.
- 词性: noun
- 行业/领域: 科学
- 类别 普通科学
- Company: McGraw-Hill
创建者
- Francisb
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